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University Of Bridgeport
School Of Business
Spring 2005
CAIS 102 Applied Statistics
Learning by Practice
Instructor: Professor Kueun Choi
Office: Mandeville Hall, Room 313
Phone: (203)576-4366
E-mail: choi@bridgeport.edu
1. Course Description
Building on the foundation of CAIS 101, this course introduces the students to a wide range of applied statistical applications. Main topics include Sampling, Confidence Interval Estimation, Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Process Control, Analysis of Variance, Simple and Multiple Regression and Correlation Analysis, and Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. The students are required to make extensive applications of Microsoft Excel for data analyses and graphic presentations.
2. Course Objectives
Through a sequence of two semester courses, i.e. CAIS 101 and CAIS 102, the students will be prepared to assume responsibilities in collecting, organizing, and analyzing business data in support of business decision making activities in both private and public sectors.
The statistical techniques to be covered in these two courses are applicable to many decision making problems in the functional areas of accounting, finance, marketing, management, and many other business applications.
Upon completion of this second course, the students will be prepared to:
a. Conduct market and opinion sample surveys;
b. Develop confidence interval estimations for population parameters;
c. Test hypotheses on population parameters;
d. Develop forecasts based on time series and regression analyses;
e. Use Microsoft Excel in support of all the tasks cited above;
3. Text Book
Lind, Marchal and Wathen, Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, Twelfth Edition,McGraw-Hill, 2000. ISBN 0-07-286824-4 (Student Edition).
4. Class Policy for the Best Possible Learning Experience
You are encouraged to select and solve any problems and case studies from each chapter listed below that interest you, and present to the class. You are to leave your written papers with me for credits. You are invited to contact me by e-mail in case you need my input or you may consult the prepared solutions that I plan to distribute in class time to time.
Combining the text book and Excel applications, you are likely to find learning to use statistical tools easy and interesting.
5. Grading Policy and Recognition for Achievement
Mid-Term Exam 100 points
Final Exam 200 points
Case Studies / Term Projects 50 points
Quizzes 50 points
Total 400 points
You may request for your final grade by e-mail during the final examination week. I will then respond by “Reply e-mail.” This procedure has proven to be most reliable.
All required papers and projects must be submitted one week before the final examination date.
6. Chapters to be covered
Chapter Title Page
8 Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem 250
Sampling Methods 251
Simple Random Sampling 252
Systematic Random Sampling 253
Stratified Random Sampling 254
Cluster Sampling 255
Sampling Error 258
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means 259
The Central Limit Theorem 263
Using the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean 270
9 Estimation and Confidence Intervals 282
Point Estimates and Confidence Intervals 283
A Confidence Interval for a Proportion 297
Finite-Population Correction Factor 300
Choosing an Appropriate Sample Size 301
10 One-Sample Tests of Hypothesis 316
What is a Hypothesis? 317
What is Hypothesis Testing? 318
Five-Step Procedure for Testing a Hypothesis
One-Tailed and Two-Tailed Tests of Significance 323
Testing for a Population Mean with a Known
Population Standard Deviation Known 324
p-Value in Hypothesis Testing 328
Testing for a Population Mean: Large sample.
Population Standard Deviation Unknown 329
Tests Concerning Proportions 331
Testing for a Population Mean: Small Sample,
Population Standard Deviation Unknown 335
Type II Error 344
Mid-Term Exam
11 Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis 355
Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis:
Independent Samples 356
Two-Sample Tests about Proportions 362
Comparing Population Means with Small Samples 366
Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis: Dependent Sample 370
Comparing Dependent and Independent Samples 374
12 Analysis of Variance 386
The F Distribution 387
Comparing Two Population Variances 388
ANOVA Assumptions 392
The ANOVA Test 394
Inferences about Pairs of Treatment Means 402
13 Linear Regression and Correlation 428
What is Correlation Analysis? 429
The Coefficient of Correlation 431
The Coefficient of Determination 435
Testing the Significance of the Correlation Coefficient 438
Regression Analysis 440
Least Square Principle 441
The Standard Error of Estimate 446
Assumptions Underlying Linear Regression 449
Confidence Intervals and Prediction Intervals 451
More on the Coefficient of Determination 454
The Relationship among the Coefficient of Correlation, the
Coefficient of Determination, and the Standard Error of
Estimate 457
14 Multiple Regression and Correlation Analysis 474
Multiple Regression Analysis 475
Inferences in Multiple Linear Regression 476
Multiple Standard Error of Estimate 481
Assumptions about Multiple Regression and Correlation 482
The ANOVA Table 483
Evaluating the Regression Equation 485
Analysis of Residuals 495
15 Nonparametric Methods :Chi-square applications 522
Goodness-of-Fit Test: Equal Expected Frequencies 523
Goodness-of-Fit Test: Unequal Expected Frequencies 529
Limitations of Chi-square 531
Contingency Table Analysis 534
The Final Exam
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